UA-45667900-1

Monday, 15 June 2026

The Atopic March - updated: Leading to Autism and ADHD in some children?



 

I was thinking yesterday about the link between eczema (atopic dermatitis) and autism following a comment regarding a therapy I must have mentioned long ago (l-histidine with zinc). The therapy did work well for this child.

This then brought me back to one of my pet subjects, which is the minimization of the risk of future autism. I did write a section in my book on this subject, but it remains a work-in-progress. My elder son wants to avoid autism in his future children. If there are simple, safe, inexpensive steps that can be taken, that also provide broader health benefits then it would be crazy not to take them.

This brings me to the subject of the so-called atopic march. I have updated it to include its effects on the brain, increasing the risk of autism and ADHD and also suggest that in fact there may be slightly different atopic journeys, rather than a singular march with the same start and end points.

 

The atopic march

The traditional "atopic march" describes the progression from atopic dermatitis (eczema) in infancy to food allergies, asthma and allergic rhinitis later in childhood. While this framework has been useful for decades, it may be too simplistic.

Perhaps there is not one atopic march, but several.

Recent years have seen an explosion of research into the gut microbiome, immune development, mast cells and neurodevelopment. Numerous studies continue to investigate probiotics as a treatment for eczema, allergies and even autism. However, there is a recurring problem: many of these studies are performed in children who may already be too old to receive the maximum benefit.

The first few months of life appear to be a critical developmental window. During this period, the gut microbiome, immune system and brain are all developing simultaneously. Alterations during this time may have lifelong consequences.

One particularly intriguing study from Finland was originally designed to investigate eczema prevention. What makes this study especially interesting is that the intervention began before many people would even think about treating the microbiome. Mothers received the probiotic Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG during the final 2–4 weeks of pregnancy. After birth, the infants received the probiotic for only the first six months of life.

A possible link between early probiotic intervention and the risk of neuropsychiatric disorders later in childhood: a randomized trial


Remarkably, this relatively brief intervention, lasting just a few months around the time of birth, was followed by measurable differences many years later.

In other words, the researchers were not treating eczema, ADHD or autism. They were attempting to influence the earliest stages of microbiome development. This timing is important because the infant microbiome is initially seeded by microbes acquired from the mother during birth, breastfeeding and close maternal contact. By giving the probiotic to both mother and infant, the researchers may have been influencing the microbial ecosystem at the very moment it was being established.

Years later, when the children were followed into adolescence, the researchers found not only a reduction in eczema but also a surprising reduction in diagnoses of ADHD and Asperger syndrome. If the finding proves to be real, it would suggest that a six-month intervention during infancy may have influenced developmental trajectories more than a decade later. The study was small and requires replication, but the findings were striking. 


Group Children ADHD or Asperger syndrome by age 13 Percentage
Probiotic (LGG) 40 0 0%
Placebo 35 6 17%


One reason the Finnish study has not been easily replicated is the sheer difficulty of performing such research. To repeat the study properly, researchers would need to recruit women during pregnancy, administer the intervention before birth, continue treatment during infancy, and then follow the children for 10–15 years while carefully tracking neurodevelopmental outcomes. Such studies are expensive, logistically challenging and suffer from inevitable participant drop-out over time. Furthermore, because probiotics are inexpensive and cannot easily be patented, there is limited commercial incentive to fund a trial that may take more than a decade to produce results. As a consequence, many probiotic studies focus on older children and adults where results can be obtained within months rather than years, even though the greatest biological impact may occur during the earliest stages of development.

At the same time, other observations point in a similar direction:

  • Early pet exposure reduces the risk of eczema.
  • Children raised on farms have lower rates of allergic disease.
  • Early probiotic use can reduce the risk of atopic dermatitis.
  • Food allergies are increasingly viewed as part of the atopic march.
  • Autism and ADHD are associated with higher rates of allergic disease in many studies.

The common denominator may be early-life immune and microbiome development.

The protective effects of pets and farm exposure are often discussed in the context of the hygiene hypothesis, although the modern interpretation is really a microbial exposure hypothesis. Children growing up around animals are exposed to a much greater diversity of microorganisms. Rather than overwhelming the immune system, these microbial exposures appear to help educate and calibrate it. Studies of children raised on traditional farms consistently show lower rates of eczema, asthma and allergic disease. The immune system evolved in a world rich in microbial exposures, and it may require those signals to develop normally.

This brings us to an important point. The infant microbiome does not arise spontaneously. Much of it originates from the mother. During birth, breastfeeding and close maternal contact, microbes are transferred from mother to child. These pioneer organisms help establish the infant gut microbiome and play a critical role in training the developing immune system. In many ways, the microbiome acts as one of the earliest teachers of the immune system, helping it learn the difference between harmless substances and genuine threats.

This process of immune calibration appears to occur very early in life. Once established, the microbiome becomes increasingly stable and resistant to change. This may explain why probiotics often show their greatest effects when administered during pregnancy or infancy, while studies in older children and adults frequently produce much smaller results. By the time many interventions are attempted, the window during which the microbiome is shaping immune development may already be closing.

Perhaps the most remarkable aspect of the Finnish study is not the probiotic itself, but the timing. The intervention was completed by six months of age, yet the outcomes were measured at 13 years of age. This is precisely what one would expect if the microbiome plays a role in calibrating the developing immune system during a narrow critical window early in life.

Mast cells may also deserve greater attention. They play important roles in eczema, food allergies, asthma and anaphylaxis, but they are also found in the gut and nervous system. Some researchers have proposed that abnormal mast-cell activity could contribute to neurodevelopmental symptoms in susceptible individuals.

Another clue that early immune modulation may alter the trajectory of the atopic march comes from studies of ketotifen, an antihistamine and mast-cell stabilizer. In one notable study of infants with atopic dermatitis, children receiving ketotifen were significantly less likely to develop asthma during the follow-up period. The researchers also reported improvements in the severity of atopic dermatitis. These findings suggest that, at least in some children, modifying mast-cell activity and allergic inflammation early in life may alter the subsequent progression of allergic disease.

Prevention strategies for asthma — secondary prevention

If the classical atopic march can be interrupted before eczema progresses to asthma, it raises a broader question. Could other early interventions—such as probiotics, microbial exposure from pets and farm environments, or targeted immune modulation—also alter developmental trajectories extending beyond allergy and into neurodevelopment in susceptible children?

This raises an interesting possibility. For a subgroup of children, the atopic march may not end with asthma and hay fever. Instead, immune dysregulation, microbiome alterations and barrier dysfunction could also influence neurodevelopment, increasing the risk of ADHD or autism.

The proposed sequence might look something like this:

Microbiome disturbance / barrier dysfunction → Eczema → Food allergy → Mast-cell activation → ADHD / Autism susceptibility

or perhaps

Microbiome disturbance → Food allergy → Eczema → Neurodevelopmental effects

In other words, there may be multiple entry points and multiple destinations.

Importantly, this hypothesis does not suggest that eczema causes autism, nor that most children with eczema will develop autism. Rather, it suggests that some children may share an underlying biological pathway affecting the skin, gut, immune system and brain.

If this hypothesis contains even a grain of truth, it has profound implications. It would mean that interventions aimed at modifying the microbiome or immune system may be most effective during infancy, before symptoms of autism or ADHD are apparent. By the time a child is diagnosed at age 3, 5 or 10, the critical developmental window may already have passed.

The irony is that we continue to perform large numbers of probiotic studies in older children and adults, where effects are often modest. The greatest opportunity may lie much earlier, during the period when the microbiome and immune system are still being assembled.

The challenge for researchers is to identify which children belong to this subgroup before the window of opportunity closes.

The classical atopic march has evolved over time. Perhaps the next evolution will be to recognize that, in some children, the journey extends beyond allergies and into neurodevelopment.

  

Conclusion

 In the Finnish study, the intervention was actually in both the mother and the infant:

  • Mothers took Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG during the final 2–4 weeks of pregnancy.
  • After birth, the infants received the probiotic until 6 months of age.

It would be very easy to implement this.

Dog and farm animal exposure (pregnant mother and later the baby) might be more difficult for some, but easy for others.

NAC during pregnancy is another simple one. It was also show very effective in reducing miscarriages and increasing the “take-home baby rate.”

We also saw Prof Ramaekers using folinic acid during pregnancy where future parents test positive for folate receptor antibodies. This requires the future parents taking the FRAT test.

In older children and adults probiotics can have a benefit, but the dramatic effect only occurs when given prior to the immune system being (mis)calibrated. In the older age-group it appears that you need something more potent – FMT works in some cases. 

The Finnish study only refers to level 1 autism (then called Asperger's syndrome).

I imagine if you could repeat this study and also include all the common issues like

  • Dyslexia
  • Dyscalculia
  • Developmental language disorder
  • Dyspraxia (developmental coordination disorder)
  • Learning disabilities generally
  • Level 2 and 3 autism

you would see some shocking results. 

You would not have 0% incidence of each disorder in the probiotic group, but I bet you would see a substantial reduction.





12 comments:

  1. Peter, this sort of fits in with this post them.

    Epigenome-microbiome interplay in early life associates with infants’ neurodevelopmental outcomes

    https://www.cell.com/cell-press-blue/fulltext/S3051-3839(26)00007-1?_returnURL=https%3A%2F%2Flinkinghub.elsevier.com%2Fretrieve%2Fpii%2FS3051383926000071%3Fshowall%3Dtrue

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Stephen, thanks for sharing this paper. It is actually quite relevant to the ideas discussed in my post.

      The researchers followed nearly 1,000 families and found that early-life factors such as C-section delivery altered both the infant microbiome and epigenetic programming at birth. They showed that changes in DNA methylation affecting neurodevelopmental pathways were associated with higher ASD and ADHD scores at age three.

      What I found particularly interesting is that the study identified specific gut bacteria that appeared to reduce this risk. Colonization with Lachnospira pectinoschiza was associated with lower ASD scores, while Parabacteroides distasonis was associated with lower ADHD scores. The authors concluded that some of the effects of early epigenetic risk may be mediated or modified by microbial colonization during infancy.

      The study also reinforces the importance of maternal microbial transfer. C-section delivery reduced transmission of maternal microbes to infants and altered microbiome maturation during the first year of life.

      Importantly, this does not prove that microbiome changes cause autism or ADHD. However, it does provide further evidence that the microbiome, immune system and neurodevelopment are linked during a critical developmental window early in life.

      What struck me is how closely these findings align with the Finnish probiotic study. Both studies point toward the possibility that interventions during pregnancy and the first months of life may have much larger long-term effects than interventions introduced years later.

      Delete
  2. Have a family member that has aspergers (also had C-section and asthma), his 16s gut test shows a major abundance and is dominated by a species at over 99.9% percentile range for that specific microbe seemingly, and when we searched that microbe up there were papers linking that microbe to ASD. Its crazy and out of all the things that could (even pharmacologically) be done FMT might have the biggest effects. Though in the UK FMT clinics are hard to come by and only try to treat other specific conditions.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can do FMT in Florida now. Very similar to ASU protocol. It will cost you a pretty penny but you can do it...

      https://stemcellmia.com/tests/

      Delete
    2. Fecal Microbiota Transplantation (FMT) is not an approved treatment for autism in the United Kingdom or mainland Europe. The UK’s Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA), alongside major European health bodies, classifies human donor stool as an experimental biological medicine, strictly limiting NHS and public hospital funding to patients with life-threatening C. difficile bacterial infections.

      While scientists actively study the gut-brain axis because up to 50% of autistic individuals suffer from chronic gastrointestinal pain, legitimate access is restricted to regulated clinical trials or expensive, out-of-pocket private clinics.

      The legal landscape across Europe is a restrictive patchwork; nations like Germany and Switzerland enforce exceptionally tight drug laws, while upcoming 2027 EU safety regulations will further crack down on unregulated facilities. Consequently, many families turn to medical tourism in non-EU hubs like Turkey or Serbia, where commercial clinics operate in legal gray areas.

      Delete
  3. Hi Peter i hope you are well.I wanted to clarify about clemastine as you said " Very long term use may reduce acetylcholine in the brain, so it is not a forever medicine. .We took a break when our last dose finished but considering ordering from Germany.We have taken it for like 3 years now.What do you think?
    Also what do you think about low dose naltrexone and what dose can be used for a 12 year old weiging 53kg. We are currently trialing setraline 18.75mg and ocd has reduced a bit.Grass picking is completely gone but still organising things around the house and wants things in specific places.I tried bumetanide again but i didnt see any gains this time around
    Apinke

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We have used Clemastine for a longer time (5y, maybe more) and the allergist who first prescribed it was never worried about using it for a longer time, neither was the neurologist we discussed it with at a later point. That said, we are going to try to remove it soon to see if it still has any positive effects or if the intervention can be 'archived'.
      LDN in adults has few and mild side effects, most common are gut issues. Titrating the dose slowly may reduce possible discomfort. There is ultra-low naltrexone and LDN, LDN for an adult is usually between 3-6 mg/day. It can reduce pain, tiredness and anhedonia in the right person (activating dopamine circuits).
      /L

      Delete
    2. We know Clemastine has anticholinergic properties, but there is very little evidence that several years of use causes cognitive problems in children. My comment was more a note of caution.

      If the medication is clearly helping and is well tolerated, I would not be alarmed by 3 years of use, though it remains sensible to periodically reassess whether it is still needed. I gave it to my son for several years, just once a day. Giving it every day for 15 years might not be wise. (I have given Bumetanide for 14 years so far.)

      The evidence of potential harm from brain penetrating antihistamines comes from studies of older people. Diphenhydramine (found in some UK versions of Benadryl) is the most studied one. Clemastine is not widely used and so had been studied less.

      One practical approach is exactly what Ling describes, stop it for a few weeks and see whether symptoms worsen. If there is no obvious change, it may be that the benefit has faded and the treatment can be retired. If symptoms clearly worsen, that suggests it is still doing something useful.

      Low-dose naltrexone (LDN) is another treatment that some families report helps with irritability, pain, fatigue, mood and sometimes repetitive behaviours. The evidence in autism remains limited, but it has a relatively good safety profile. For a 12-year-old weighing 53 kg, many clinicians would start very low (for example 0.5–1 mg at bedtime) and increase gradually over several weeks. Typical LDN doses are often in the range of 2–4.5 mg daily, although there is no universally accepted autism-specific dose.

      It is encouraging that the sertraline appears to be helping. The disappearance of the grass-picking behaviour suggests that at least part of the OCD-like component is responding. The remaining need to organise objects and keep things in specific places may also improve with time, as SSRIs often take several weeks or months to reach their full effect.

      As for bumetanide, I have heard from several parents that a second trial was less successful than the first. It may be that the child's biology has changed. In my son’s case spring/summertime allergies created inflammation which then reduced the impact of bumetanide lowering chloride levels inside neurons, so it appeared that bumetanide had “stopped working”. Remove the allergy and bumetanide worked again.

      Delete
  4. Peter, do you know if there is any correlation between Method of birth, e.g. CSection, Emergency C section and natural birth, and risk of later Autism, Intellectual disability, and/or ADHD?
    I was very surprised to learn that 45% or so births in the UK are now by C section. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5yqjezrnj4o

    Apparently doubling over just the last 10 years.

    Presumably if transfer of gut microbiome is important in the development of such developmental issues, then a sterile environment, birth such as with C section, would hinder this.

    Another note, from watching the early seasons of the BBC show " call the midwife" it Apparently used to be common practice to use enemas before natural births in the pre 1960s UK at least.

    I

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Edward, there does seem to be an association between C-section delivery and later autism or ADHD. A large meta-analysis covering more than 20 million births found that children born by C-section had about a 33% higher odds of autism and a 17% higher odds of ADHD compared with those born vaginally.

      You do need to note that the age of the mother is linked to an increased likelihood of C-section and that advanced maternal age is itself associated with an increased risk of autism and ADHD.

      We should also note that many C-sections (15-20% of births) are medically necessary to protect the mother and baby.

      One possible mechanism is the microbiome. Babies born vaginally acquire a different set of microbes from their mothers than babies born by C-section. Since the microbiome influences immune development and allergy risk, this could fit with the "atopic march" concept discussed in this post. It is also worth noting that the prophylactic antibiotics used during a C-section are typically given before the operation begins, meaning the baby is exposed before birth. Combined with reduced exposure to maternal vaginal and gut microbes, and often delayed breastfeeding, a C-section can result in several simultaneous changes to early microbial colonization. There is a fairly well-established association between C-section delivery and reduced breastfeeding, particularly in the first days and weeks after birth.

      Another possibility involves the hormonal and neurological events of labour itself. During vaginal delivery there is a surge of oxytocin that may help trigger the perinatal "GABA switch", a developmental transition that helps the newborn brain adapt to life outside the womb. Altered GABA signalling is one of the most consistent findings in autism research.

      This idea was championed by Professor Ben-Ari, who proposed that an incomplete GABA switch could contribute to autism in some children. It was this hypothesis that led to the development of bumetanide as an autism therapy, since bumetanide reduces intracellular chloride and may help restore inhibitory GABA signalling.

      You can think of birth as involving several biological "switches" being turned on: microbial transfer, oxytocin release, stress hormones, temperature changes and early feeding. In most babies these systems work perfectly regardless of delivery method, but in genetically susceptible children differences in these signals could potentially contribute to later outcomes.

      A C-section may not be a single event but rather the start of a cascade:

      C-section → (prenatal antibiotic exposure + reduced transfer of maternal microbes + reduced early breastfeeding) → altered infant microbiome and immune development

      It fits quite neatly with the atopic march hypothesis.

      Delete
  5. Thank you for this post Peter.

    I have Hayfever, no Asthma. Do you think in future my son will get Hayfever or Asthma. Any thing that can help prevent it please?

    My son has Eczema from birth and everything you wrote in the post does add up.
    Gave birth late in mid 30s, stressful IT job ,had low PAAP A hormone ,so took low dose aspirin through out the pregnancy, had to go for emergency C section . Breastfed until 2 years , have a pet cat at home . Mild ASD diagnosis.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you for sharing your story.

      The good news is that the atopic march is not inevitable. Many children with eczema never go on to develop hay fever or asthma. Since your son was breastfed for two years, he has already benefited from one factor generally considered to support healthy immune development.

      As for predicting whether he will develop hay fever or asthma, unfortunately nobody can say. A family history of hay fever does increase the risk, but it is far from certain that he will develop either condition.

      One interesting approach that has been studied is ketotifen, a mast cell stabilizer. Two randomized, placebo-controlled trials in high-risk infants found that ketotifen significantly reduced the progression from atopic dermatitis to asthma. Surprisingly, these promising studies were never followed up by large modern trials, so ketotifen has not become part of routine guidelines for preventing the atopic march. I think it remains an interesting option to discuss with an allergy specialist, particularly in children with significant eczema and a strong family history of allergic disease.

      Ketotifen is often used as an antihistamine in young children. In most of the world it is inexpensive and OTC.

      There is also growing interest in modifying the infant microbiome. Breastfeeding, avoiding unnecessary antibiotics, a diverse high-fibre diet once solids are introduced, and possibly selected probiotics may all help promote healthy immune development. None of these is guaranteed to prevent the atopic march, but together they may help reduce the risk in susceptible children.

      Delete

Post a comment